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February 2005
FINANCIAL PLANNING
Tips for Investing Frequent communication, strategic thinking and principal-protection products will help your client stay the course. It was late summer 2004 and Jim Kelley’s client had a problem. A Washington, D.C., attorney with a $1.1 million portfolio heavily invested in U.S. equities markets, the client had just four years left until retirement and only a moderate tolerance for risk. But the stock seemed stuck in a protracted slide and with rising interest rates, bonds were taking a beating, too. Kelley, a registered representative with America Group, an affiliate of Ohio National Life, decided it was time to act. “We put some of the client’s money into real estate and commodities funds and also bought some investments in foreign bonds,” says Kelley, a member of North Central Ohio AIFA. “We didn’t want to have that dependence on the U.S. markets going up and down.” That strategy yielded rewards that were beyond financial: It also buoyed the confidence of Kelley’s client and helped him stay the course in his overall financial plan. “It smoothed out the ride,” Kelley explains. “When U.S. markets were going south, we were able to see his other investments going up in value. Being willing to look outside traditional investment classes gives clients confidence when they’re looking at down markets and thinking, ‘Gosh, there’s nowhere for me to go to make money.’” Outside-the-box thinking is just one way advisors are helping investors regain and maintain confidence in markets that seem sky-bound one minute and hell-bound the next. Advisors nationwide are educating clients, involving them in strategic planning, managing their expectations, employing principal-protection products and helping clients tune out the noise of talking-head TV—all in an effort to keep client confidence on an even keel despite the changing seas of equities markets.
Trends in confidence The good news: Perceptions of the securities industry are more favorable than they were recently and confidence in reforms is on the rise. Sixty-four percent of investors reported a “very favorable” or “somewhat favorable” view of the securities industry—a jump of 9 percentage points over 2003, and a total favorability rating that parallels investor attitudes during the boom years between 1997 and 2000. The bad news: Stung by the turn-of-the-century bear market, followed by 9/11, followed by the malfeasance of Enron, et al., investors still seem inclined to view the industry somewhat askance. Only 15 percent said they held “very favorable” impressions of the equities industry. Market reforms seem to be helping. According to the SIA survey, 57 percent of investors have “a lot” or a “moderate” amount of confidence in securities industries reforms, an increase of nine points over 2003. Still, a huge chunk of investors—43 percent—reported little or no confidence in reforms. Herd mentality “One of the most frustrating things I have in dealing with clients is that when they’re just living their normal day-to-day lives, they’re bombarded with investment information,” says Branson, a principal at Branson, Fowlkes & Co., a Houston investment firm. From TV talking-heads to clickable web pundits, “all these people have opinions and need something catchy to grab attention.” Branson’s main concern isn’t the credibility or the expertise of media finance people. It’s their habit of firing off advice shotgun-style, with no clear target in sight. Saturday morning financial pundits will say retail investors need to be in this stock, that bond, gold coins, halibut futures—you name it. But, Branson notes, they rarely append the caveat that their tips may suit only a certain type of investor—either long-term, short-term or high-risk, for example.
The long view One way to do that is to actively involve the client in identifying his investment objectives. “At the end of the day, the client should realize that investing is a tool to reach his goals, not a goal in itself,” Mangini says. He adds that the advisor’s attitude is critical: “If you allow the relationship to be framed as ‘I’m going to do better than the market for you,’ or ‘I’m going to help you grow your money,’ that really isn’t speaking to the client’s needs.” But once the client is focused on long-term goals rather than short-term gains, the advisor can inspire confidence by building a financial plan and helping the client stick to it. That process is strategic, not tactical, Branson says. His firm uses a multilevel approach, diversifying by asset category (U.S. large and small stocks, international stocks in developed and developing countries, real-estate securities, and foreign bonds, for example), constructing a portfolio with exposure in all those areas, then rebalancing periodically. “It’s a long-term view,” Branson says. “Our strategic allocation is a target portfolio that remains constant, no matter what the market is doing.” Constant yet flexible “They were disillusioned because their advisors … weren’t willing to make changes when their portfolios were going to hell in a hand basket,” Kelley says. “I’ve let my clients know that I’m happy to hear whatever ideas they may have, and that if Plan A isn’t working, that I’m willing to take a different approach.” That willingness, though, goes hand in hand with reasonable client expectations, something Kelley says is the advisor’s job to manage. Though many retail investors have dialed down dreams of the year-over-year, double-digit returns that were common during the late ‘90s, there is still the lingering hope that today’s market is in a trough and that the lofty returns of yesteryear were “normal.” “Even with the nice year we had in 2003, it seemed like investors were willing to get right back into that mode of expecting 15 to 20 percent returns,” Kelley says. “Going forward, advisors who can manage client expectations, and let them know they’re probably going to receive 7 or 8 percent, are going to have happier clients.” Keep in touch Branson agrees. He recommends touching base with clients on portfolio performance, not only to keep them apprised of performance (monthly statements can do that), but also to turn their mental sails back into the wind. “What happens is clients forget the initial strategy and need to be reminded on a periodic basis why the portfolio is invested as it is.” Building confidence Kovach, president and CEO of Capital Management Investment Services in Boca Raton, Fla., uses ETFs to build client confidence. “I do that by showing them how they can sleep through the night by not having 100 percent of their equity at risk. I’m able to give my clients peace of mind.” By using options—“puts” and “calls”—on particular ETFs, investors can hedge against market downturns—and also turn their investments into a source of monthly income. Puts? Calls? If you’re an insurance advisor with investment experience mainly in mutual funds and annuities, don’t let your eyes glaze over before you read on. True, a great chunk of Main Street investors would prefer a “set-it-and-forget-it,” wealth-building strategy to anything that smacks of speculation. But for a certain class of investors—Kovach describes them as “upper middle class and beyond, anybody who can afford to buy 1,000 shares of something”—ETFs may offer the best of both worlds. Using them, retail investors can employ two strategies to insure against loss of principal while also earning income. First, to hedge, they can buy “puts” on their ETF shares. A put option is basically an insurance contract that guarantees the investor the right to sell his shares at a fixed price, no matter what the market does. In other words, the investor buys the right to sell high. Second, to generate income, the investor can sell “calls” against the stock he buys or already holds, earning a premium on those sales. The put strategy can build investor confidence by protecting against downside risk. For example, a client with a $1 million portfolio in ETFs could buy enough puts to ensure that only 10 percent of his principal is at risk. By contrast, a $1 million mutual fund portfolio is 100 percent at risk. Meanwhile, the call strategy spins off income without impacting principal. “The client can use his portfolio to drive income on a monthly basis,” says Kovach. “If the client is working with an insurance advisor, he can earmark that cash flow into variable universal, long-term care or disability income insurance, things he might not otherwise have the cash to afford.” Sound complicated? It isn’t, particularly when insurance advisors team with financial planners and brokers who have an appropriate technological platform, such as brokersXpress, an online brokerage that specializes in options.
Offering guarantees Bruce Ferris, senior vice president of sales and marketing for investment products at Hartford, points out that VAs with principal guarantees didn’t even exist before his company introduced them in 2000. Now, the 15 top sellers of annuities offer them. “Their widespread acceptance in the marketplace shows that investors had not lost their fear, and that one of the basic notions that investors identify with is protection of principal,” he says.
Chris Dannenfeldt, of Dallas-based Senior Advisors LLC, bases a hard-hitting collateral on that very notion. His flyer for equity-indexed annuities (EIAs) kicks off with a tantalizing headline: “How to Participate in Stock Market Gains, Yet Avoid All Market Losses.” The piece asks nervous clients: “Have you lost money in the stock market? … Would you like a guarantee that a falling stock won’t ever hurt you financially again?” After explaining how EIAs are linked to indexes such as the NASDAQ and the S&P 500, the piece goes on to explain the instrument with a layman’s example. “Think of it this way: You go to Federal Stock Market Casino and visit their regular blackjack table. If you bet $1,000 and beat the dealer, you win $1,000. If the dealer beats you, you lose your $1,000 and start over.” At the Equity-Index Casino, Dannenfeldt’s flyer explains, the client/player makes only $600 on a $1,000 winning bet, but he suffers no losses if the dealer wins. “Now how much would you bet at the Equity-Index Casino?” Dannenfeldt’s piece asks. “How about everything, because you can’t lose?” Investing in education Mangini recommends educating clients on the key features of how the market operates and Hartford’s Ferris says a brief history lesson can often help clients overcome their market fears. Hartford advisors make ample use of charts showing that since the stock market’s inception, 67 of 69 of the 10-year rolling periods and all 59 of the 25-year rolling periods have yielded positive returns. “When you’re able to demonstrate that over time the markets have helped investors reach their objectives,” you can build investor confidence, Ferris says. And though clients typically think in the short term, Mangini says, they need to understand where we are in what he calls “the big trends.” That, for example, we’re closer to the bottoming out of interest rates from a cyclical standpoint, and how that affects the bond market. Mangini says, “You don’t have to make the client a Ph.D., but a bit of understanding can maintain investor confidence by giving them a reference point when the marketplace turns volatile.” Lynn Vincent is a frequent contributor to Advisor Today.
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